
Some quick thoughts on the First-Round:
Defense vs. Offense
-This was supposed to be a Defensive-heavy first round. Most mocks had the Defensive side of the ball receiving the majority of picks. The typical spread was 18-14. Well, so much for the mocks; there were 19-Offensive and 13-Defensive players selected.
Big Uglies
-Offensive Tackle is one position that gets lots of love in these affairs. Seven OTs were taken. Much of the speculation was that there would be as many as six.
-Offensive Guard was consistently regarded as a second-round position. One exception was Ioane to Baltimore was widely predicted. Houston took Rutledge boosting the total for OGs to 2 in the first round.
Lady Luck
-Ty Simpson has a horseshoe in an unimaginable place. Were this 2024 he would have been a late 2nd or 3rd-Round pick. This was the year of the QB shortage. So, he ends up in the first…in the top half of the first…goes to a team where he will sit and learn not having to produce anything for a few years…and for a coach with QB Whisperer credentials. This is a guy who couldn’t beat out Jalen Milroe for three years at Alabama. Jalen went in the third round last year. Simply incredible good luck rained down for the young man.
Surplus Value Strikes
-As I thought, Caleb Downs slid out of the top-10. The Surplus Value thing is too strong to ignore. Downs had the highest Star Value of the picks available for Dallas. It’s always hard for Jerry Jones to pass on Star Value.
You Did What?
-Other than Simpson, the biggest over-draft of the night was the WR Tate to Tennessee at #4. When a guy is never the WR1 in college it’s a stretch to think he’ll be a #1 at the highest level. If you wanted a head scratching pick for the night this was it. The Tennessee “Needs” board was big…as in it needs some Bigs. They went Receiver. This is the team that traded away AJ Brown. They pick high every year for a reason.
Of Upside vs Production
-Reese sliding to #5 was not on any radar that I encountered. He was the “Upside” Edge as opposed to Bailey who was the “Production” Edge. Betting on upside will get you fired in the NFL. It often doesn’t materialize. Still, the odds are that the Giants will have an improved pass rush over the competent one they had last year. The need for Washington to grab a Center just went up.
The East going Beast Mode
-The NFL East improved last night. The three Ohio State Defensive studs went to Dallas, Washington, and New York. Philly grabbed the WR Lemon from USC. IF AJ Brown is there with DeVonta Smith and this kid even Jalen Hurts should be able to be productive. It sounds odd to say about a Super Bowl MVP, but if Hurts can’t light the League up with that crew it’s time to re-think affairs up in the mis-named City of Brotherly Love.
They’re World Champs for a Reason
-RB Jeremiah Price to Seattle is a terrific pick for them. They let their Super Bowl MVP walk. Then they promptly reloaded a comparable for Rookie money. Their Dead Money is only in the sub-$1-million range. No other team is close. Seattle is a brilliantly run organization.
Next for Washington?
-The stud Linebacker is in the barn. Now what? The #71 pick is waiting for the WFT. Lots of speculation is out there that the pick is Ted Hurst the Wide Receiver out of Georgia State. 6’3” at 207 lbs, Hurst has 4.42 speed that he carries through the break. That would fill the very loud void at WR2. Lots of water has to go under the bridge first for that to happen. Expect lots of trade actions as we move down the rounds.















